Recently during a face book debate, Mr. Tracy Kagarura made the following appeal: “The National Development Plan 2010-2011/ 2014-2015 has very interesting plans for our country…Please read and contribute to developments in our mother land Uganda.”
Response by Mr. Godfrey Kahangi:
I have located the NDP as a pdf file at http://www.finance.go.ug/docs/NDP_April_2010-Prot.pdf.
For those who want an overview of the economy of Uganda, look at http://www.finance.go.ug/docs/An%20overview%20of%20the%20national%20econ…omy.pdf.
Tracy, just to note, National Development Plans are just that, stated goals. The translation of such plans/goals into activities into realizations requires more than just optimism. This is why Uganda needs to elevate its skill level at top echelons from Peasant Management to 1st World Management.
To date, most of the ‘talk’ is purely to motivate the peasants to vote for NRM. There is also something close to revisionism, since M7 tried to pin all election rigging on NRM. There is also escapism, as M7 tried to validate much of Gaddafi’s militarism and instead just blame the west. For your information, I don’t wholeheartedly support the west’s activity of bombing and destroying Libya, to remove Gaddafi, but the last person to speak of should be M7, who with Uganda oil is definitely in the radar of the western powers. If the Chinese premier visits Uganda, we can only give M7 2 years before his reign is in jeopardy.
Uganda doesn’t need a Museveni and Museveni doesn’t have the administrative strategic skill to manage the transition from third world to first world. And, any economist would have advised him that it is not possible to transition to first world in 5 years, from $1200 ppp to $15,000ppp!!! It is empty rhetoric that is designed to excite, and doesn’t have much basis. Even if Uganda had $20bn/annum revenue from oil, the time to set up the infrastructure, the skills development, and the economic activity to raise Uganda to a first world economy would not permit this in under 15 years.
Tracy, at the very least, the NDP I have seen is a policy statement (which is much better than what the FDC have to show for their desire for power). But it is not enough. For the past 10 years, similar NDP’s have been produced and Uganda has not translated them to their stated goals. As such, I agree with you that “The National Development Plan 2010-2011/ 2014-2015 has very interesting plans for our country” and this is my contribution.
Christine Lubwa Oryema Lalobo:
Tracy, I do not see any difference between the current National Development plan and that of 1990/91 to 2004/5 that would make me or anyone excited about a drastic improvement in the delivery of social services and support of economic development for Ugandans?
With the illustrious development plan in place how come that the fuel, food and prices of all commodities are skyrocketing by the day? Can anyone explain to me the linkage between The National Dev’t Plan 2010-2011/ 2014-2015 and the quality of life of Ugandans whose income are being eroded by inflation faster than the exploit of Pheidippides?
Tracy, if the cost of items keep on the trend that we are witnessing, all of us have to brace ourselves for a very tough time ahead.
Godfrey Kahangi, I would like to thank you for the response to Tracy concerning the NDP. Incidentally Uganda is not in the position that it is today for lack of plans, policies and programs. Most of what you read in these illustrious documents remain intact on the very papers on which they are written and never see the light of day…I would not raise the hope of citizens unduly till we can get to the root cause of the inadequacy of launching the NDP and setting it rolling.
It is good though to internalise the documents as they gives one a framework of expectation and dreams…and that benchmark against which the successes and failures can be measured…
I was looking at this explanation of an economic bubble:
“Economic bubbles have been around since the birth of currency. Created by a wide range of factors, from excessive monetary liquidity to plain old human greed, exuberance and stupidity, they can be described as a trade in products or assets valued far higher than they should be – which is inevitably followed by a crash in prices.”
A thought just came to me, can Uganda ever suffer an economic bubble in its present state or we only have political bubbles? Is Museveni a political bubble and if so, has he overstretched his turgidity?
Godfrey Kahangi :
Stephen, I agree with you that Museveni is a political bubble, much like Mubarak. Interestingly General Tito of Yugoslavia was also a political bubble, since on his demise the nation splintered into many parts and many atrocities were committed in the process. With such like Museveni and Gaddafi, when they are no longer in the leadership, they leave anarchy and chaos in their wake.
True Godfrey. I also think another reason that makes Museveni a political bubble is that he’s over-inflated. Any slight puncture as we saw with Mubbarak or Ben Ali will render him completely useless. This is a characteristic of strongmen. They thrive on creating an air of invincibility and being the alpha to omega of everything but inwardly they are hollow. People who are not political bubbles are those that are humble but yet a lot is achieved through them – like Mandela. So yes I agree, Museveni is a political bubble.